Because of the severe depreciation of the Korean currency, Dataquest now forecasts that Korean companies wUl cut capital spending in 1998 about 40 to 60 percent, relative to 1997, in dollar terms. The Asian financial crisis will affect capital availability and spending in semiconductors.
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Although China/Hong Kong's long-term semiconductor forecast has been lowered, it will still accovmt for 26 percent of Asia/Pacific consumption by 2001.Īnalysis of the PC market provides insight into the early impacts of currency devaluations in the region on the personal computer industry and suggests that the outlook for recovery has shifted from the near term to the long term for Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia, with the Korean economy possibly begirming to turn around earUer. dollar.ĭataquest believes that China/Hong Kong will not be impaired in the short term by the crisis, but it faces long-term challenges. DRAM pricing is predicted to fall further if the Korean, Taiwanese, and Japanese currencies continue to slide against the U.S. There are five viewpoints presented: the Korean regional and Korean DRAM perspectives, a focus on China/Hong Kong, insight into the impact of tiie crisis on the region's PC market, and discussion of its effect on capital spending.Īnalysis of the Korean regional situation suggests that the worldwide DRAM recession is one of the reasons for the Korean financial crisis. In this Focus Report, Dataquest has assembled a worldwide team of experts to offer tiheir views on the ongoing Asian financial crisis. Dollar between June 1,1997, and January 9,1998ģ-1 Total Exports and Imports and Semiconductor Exports and Imports for Korea, 1995 through 1997ĥ-1 Total Electronics Production and Semiconductor Market Forecast in China/Hong Kong and Asia/Pacific, 1997 to 2001 ^ ^ġ-1 Depreciation of Asian Currencies against the U.S.
In Asia/Pacific, 1996 to 2001 5-4 China/Hong Kong's Share of Asia/Pacific ElectronicĮquipment Production and Semiconductor Consumption, 1996 to 2001 5-5 China/Hong Kong Semiconductor Consumption Forecast, 1996 to 2001 6-1 Year-on-Year Growth in PC Shipments in Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand: Q3/96 to Q3/97 Region in Asia/Pacific, 1996 to 2001 5-3 Forecast of Electronic Equipment Production by Region
Region in Asia/Pacific, 1997 to 1999 5-2 Long-Term Forecast of Semiconductor Consumption by Will the Southeast Asia Currency Issue Cause a Decline inĬapital Spending in the Region? Yes! Here's Whyģ-1 Relationship between Worldwide DRAM Revenue Growth Rate and Korean Export Growth RateĤ-1 Foreign Currency Purchasing Power Relative to the Dollar 5-1 Forecast of Semiconductor Consumption Growth by The Impact on Capital Spending of the Asian Financial Crisis Currency Meltdown: Impact on Asia/Pacific PC Marketsĭo Current Conditions Favor Local Vendors?ħ.
Lower Long-Term Growth Forecast for China/Hong KongĦ. Korean Market Faces Structural, Not Cyclical, ProblemsĬhina/Hong Kong Still the Rising Star, but with Challenges 17 Stronger Exports Likely to Make Up for Slower Domestic Semiconductor Market Forecast: The Impact of Asia/Pacific'sĪsia/Pacific and China/Hong Kong Forecasts The Impact on the DRAM Market of the Korean Financial Crisis. Impact of the Asian Financial Crisis on Korea's Semiconductor Program: Semiconductors Top Views Product Code: SCND-WW-FR-9801 Publication Date: January 26,1998 Filing: Top Viewsĭataquest Focus Report: The Asian Financial Crisis For further information, contact Principal Analyst Mary Ann Olsson at (408) 468-8674 or at ĭataquest Focus Report: Tlie Asian Financial Crisis Please insert the enclosed corrected pages in your document and place this letter in the pocket of the binder.ĭataquest regrets the error and apologizes for any inconvenience. Table 1-4 and page 19 in Dataquest's Competitive Markets in Semiconductors, 1997 (SEMI-WW-CT-9801) have been revised.
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